Backtested tactical ETF allocation model

MoMoEtf2

Tactical asset allocation model that adjusts monthly across major market exposures using proprietary market-environment and risk-management signals. Subscribers receive current model allocations and update alerts.

Backtest period: 2002-08-01 through 2026-08-28 · Starting equity: $100,000

Strategy FAQ

Public overview. Current signals and positions are not shown here.

What is MoMoEtf2?

MoMoEtf2 is a tactical ETF allocation model. It adjusts monthly across major market exposures using proprietary market-environment and risk-management signals.

How often can holdings change?

The model is designed around a monthly update process. It is not an intraday trading system, and an allocation can remain unchanged for multiple months.

Are the charts live account results?

No. They are simulated backtest results and may omit real-world costs, taxes, slippage, and execution differences.

What is available to members?

Members receive current model allocation details, model alerts, and subscriber-only updates.

Strategy CAGR
22.5%
SPY CAGR
11.3%
Strategy Max Drawdown
-23.7%
SPY Max Drawdown
-55.2%
Total Return
13217.44%
Sharpe Ratio
1.31
Final Equity
$13,317,445
Active Months
289

Equity Curve

MoMoEtf2 and SPY equity with drawdowns through 2026-08-28.

Monthly Returns

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear ReturnSPY Year
202614.2%9.5%10.3%2.1%-5.6%-5.0%-8.0%5.9%23.1%13.4%
20252.3%3.8%3.5%0.1%-0.0%9.8%2.8%3.6%-0.3%-1.4%-4.8%0.8%21.5%17.7%
20242.7%4.7%10.5%-0.9%-0.3%7.8%-3.3%0.7%2.6%-1.6%7.8%-9.6%21.4%24.9%
2023-2.0%0.4%0.0%2.8%8.9%6.1%7.8%1.6%2.4%-5.8%5.1%4.2%35.3%26.2%
202218.8%7.1%10.3%-1.7%4.3%-4.9%5.4%-2.9%-6.4%1.9%7.0%-3.0%38.7%-18.2%
2021-0.8%22.5%3.0%0.7%5.7%4.2%-8.3%3.6%-5.8%10.3%-5.0%3.0%33.8%28.7%
20204.0%-7.3%-0.9%3.6%1.0%6.9%5.7%11.9%-5.3%-5.0%11.4%5.5%33.6%18.3%
20192.9%0.6%4.8%6.4%-8.7%3.2%3.5%-1.5%1.6%3.9%5.4%4.3%28.6%31.2%
20187.0%-0.4%1.7%0.1%3.0%0.6%1.6%6.6%-0.0%-8.0%1.8%-8.4%4.4%-4.6%
20173.6%4.5%2.2%2.0%4.0%-2.8%4.5%2.9%0.8%6.5%1.4%0.5%34.3%21.7%
20161.9%0.9%2.3%-5.0%4.9%-1.4%7.1%1.2%2.1%-0.8%0.2%2.3%16.3%12.0%
2015-3.5%8.0%-3.4%2.8%1.9%-4.1%2.9%-5.5%1.0%2.5%0.7%-2.1%0.2%1.2%
2014-2.6%4.4%0.4%0.3%3.8%1.9%1.7%3.3%-0.5%1.6%4.8%-2.2%17.8%13.5%
20138.3%0.4%2.5%-1.3%2.8%-2.9%3.7%-1.0%2.5%5.0%3.1%3.5%29.6%32.3%
20126.2%7.1%4.5%-0.7%-10.7%3.3%1.8%4.2%1.5%-2.0%-1.2%1.0%14.7%16.0%
20113.2%2.2%1.9%0.9%-4.2%-2.5%0.4%-10.2%-0.5%1.7%1.7%2.4%-3.8%1.9%
2010-4.4%3.5%6.8%1.3%-11.5%0.3%3.4%0.8%3.0%5.8%-1.6%5.6%11.9%15.1%
2009-5.5%-4.4%3.8%0.8%1.5%3.6%8.2%1.6%4.6%-1.2%5.5%5.8%26.0%26.4%
2008-7.3%0.5%1.6%5.1%3.6%-0.7%-6.4%2.1%-0.7%-6.7%3.8%2.6%-3.7%-36.8%
2007-0.9%-2.0%6.3%5.1%7.8%1.3%0.0%1.2%3.8%5.3%-4.2%8.3%35.8%5.1%
200614.6%-9.2%4.2%5.0%-2.8%2.5%3.3%7.0%4.0%4.0%2.8%-2.8%35.8%15.8%
20053.4%16.8%-1.9%-5.4%2.8%-1.3%7.1%6.4%6.3%-9.0%1.5%1.8%29.3%4.8%
20042.3%5.3%-0.6%1.7%-0.3%6.2%3.1%-1.5%9.8%0.6%6.7%-2.8%33.9%10.7%
2003-2.1%-0.4%-0.2%1.5%8.6%0.7%3.1%4.8%-0.9%7.3%0.8%13.1%41.6%28.2%
20021.7%-1.7%1.3%-2.4%1.9%0.7%0.3%

Member Signals

Current allocation details, latest alerts, and recent model updates are available to members.

View membership options

Important: These are simulated backtest results, not verified live performance. Backtests are hypothetical, may benefit from hindsight, and may not reflect transaction costs, slippage, liquidity constraints, taxes, or future market conditions. Past or simulated performance does not guarantee future results.